Thursday, July 31, 2014

Game 16 & 17 - The Hot Tub Woody's & Tap Masters - Running The Gauntlet

INTRO

For those of you with a keen eye to detail, you'll notice that there is a new tab above titled OCD - Standings.  The OCD of course stands for obsessive compulsive disorder which I've been self-diagnosed with.  The only known cure are stats. 

Its not really working. 

Those of you who suffer from OCD, this isn't meant as a slight, just an attempt at humour and poking fun at myself. 

So, there are 15 teams in the league, which means that there are 1,307,674,368,000 different possible orders of finish.  I'm not tracking those.  That's Mark Doyle compulsion.  It has yet to be named. 

My compulsion is with the individual team slots that they could possibly finish in.  As of this moment (written before Tuesday's games) there are only 52 games left in the entire season.  Doesn't seem like much, eh?  However 2 teams can finish in as many as 14 different spots and 13 teams can finish in all 15 spots in the standings.  So out of 225 different possible finishes, there are still 223 possible.  With 52 games left.  That seems crazy to me.  We could have the number drop slightly tonight, but its entirely possible that it will remain exactly the same. 

If you have any interest in seeing who's still alive for which spots, you know where to find it. 

The Beer Cup 

As they say in New Zealand, its not often that you win the Beer Cup.  So when you do, you need to embrace it and celebrate.  The Woody's have had more than their fair share of Beer Cup ownership, so I now they understand. 

Well, your friendly neighbourhood Grisslies celebrated in the only way we know how, which would be over the top.  Hey.  Its what we do.   And in the last 5 days we got a hell of a lot done!

We celebrated with kids of former team mates.  They sure were happy for us!

We thought the whole town should celebrate with us, so we took the Grisslie banner, then the Beer Cup and got them all in a photo.  But that wasn't quite enough.   


So we hacked the town's website so the first thing you see on their home page is this:


Then Geoff Keogh took it for a boat ride.....it seemed to really that. 


And Rob took it to meet Jesus.  The water that was in it remained water....relax Mark!


Then Len Wercholoz had a great idea.  Take it too a Jays game and let them see what its like to really win something!  Boy did those guys enjoy it.  The Jays are 5-1 since Lenny went down there. 


Call is using it for fund raising to pay for a baby sitter. 

We took it to the Buffalo FOX-TV (WUTV-29) to get pictures with their biggest stars. 


This is Mr Chiasson after pounding his 6th beer from the Beer Cup.   Danny says, "not only is a great looking trophy but it ALSO actually works as a cup.  Can I take it home?   Seriously?  Can I keep it?"


Tina and I did our quick trip to Disney as we're want to do every so often & Mick and Min (we know them pretty well) were thrilled to get their picture taken for zillionth time.  Because this time, it mattered. 


The Beer Cup pics wouldn't be complete without our requisite picture with Dave McKendrick.  Hey, you know how he got there?  He walked.  


Dude had all the classic car aficionado's eating sausages from his grill and taking pics with the cup. 


Then that crazy guy strapped it to a dolphin and went swimming! 


Oh ya, it was the Dude Beer Cup show.  Actually, the dolphin jumped the net barricade and he had to rent a speed boat to get it back.  As you can see he was successful and by all accounts the dolphin steak was marvelous!


Fraser avenue went NUTS!!! First they had a parade, which was pretty spectacular and all the speeches were brilliant, but the Farah For Mayor chants brought a tear to my eye. 


Just like the Stanly Cup, when you win it you take it home.  Geoff and folks caught up in the euphoria.


Ya, I know .... they look related, but no.  Rob got a picture with the Georgetown PeeWee's stolen base leader


Andi, Len and Sue and their friend the Beer Cup. 


Here's the Williams' family on a quick trip to St. Kitts, using the Beer Cup as a floatation device.  Who knew it was so versatile!


In an effort to elevate his popularity, Justin Trudeau begged and pleaded for a photo opportunity with the cup.  Despite Rob's staunch Green Party roots, he finally consented. 


I have no interest in Monarchs.  But Cameron Clark is all over it!  He had Chuck Cragg put himself and the Beer Cup in a Fedex box and send him off to Parliament.  Getting home was a little trickier.


Speaking of politics, monarchs and figure heads that do nothing.....Darren Ford brought the Beer Cup to uncle Rob.  The senior Ford apparently couldn't handle the stress


And here is Dan Routledge.  Completely overwhelmed with the Beer Cup.  And still learning how to use the camera. 


"I declare this national Beer Cup Day AND Justin Trudeau is a Putz Day!!"  I hate it when people use the Beer Cup for political gain. 


Rob McCarron....poor, poor, poor Rob McCarron.  Rob Farah mounted a permanent shenanigans sign on the McCarron's front lawn, complete with the Beer Cup.  Initially he wasn't happy, but he got over it. 


The only time that we could reserve for Tom Enright with the Beer Cup was during his daughter's ballet class.  And people DARE to say he's uncoordinated????  I bet his dance card will be full at the banquet after this picture. 


The GAMES

Hot Tub Woody's

It seems that our last few games have had a 'playoff' closeness to it.  This game and quality of the opposition was no different in this one. 

The Woody's hit first and would leave runners on the corners to end the inning.  The Grisslies were a little under their season average (yes we keep inning by inning stats) in the first when we tallied two runs by Dan Routledge and Geoff Keogh and would lead 2-0 after the 1st. 

The 2nd was role reversal of the first, with the Hot Tub Woody's getting runs from Peter Hayward and Chris Ross while the Grisslies went down in order, which only happens once every 12 innings.  The game was knotted at 2's after 2.

In the 3rd the Woody's would get another couple of runs, this time with Tito Presenza and Will Goodin counting.  The 4-2 lead after 2 and a half wouldn't hold as the Grisslies had their biggest inning of the night when Routledge, Cameron Clark, Keogh, Micah Williams, Darren Ford and Doug Dwyer would score.  The Grisslies stood with an 8-4 lead after 3. 

The tide was stemmed in the 4th with Woody's only sending four batters to the plate and the Grisslies eking out another on Routledges third run of the night.  9-4 Grisslies after 4. 

Then the Hot Tub Woody's bats took off in the 5th.  Presenza led off and scored, followed by Jeff Dancey, Goodin and Gord Robinson who all did likewise.  After an merciful out, Chris Ross would reach and score and the inning once again ended with Woody's on the corners.  The Grisslies continued to score in every inning, once again getting a single run when Ford would score his second of the game.  After 5 the score was 10-9 for the Grisslies. 

The Woody's 6th had Presenza lead off and score.  No one else mad it past 1st base and the game was tied at 10's.  The Grisslies half of the inning saw yet another single run scored, this time with Clark counting his 2nd of the game.  Grisslies 11, Woody's 10 after 6. 

The Woody's needed just a single run to force a bottom of the 7th.  And there inning started well with back to back singles from Ross and John Mulgrew putting runners at 1st and 2nd with none out.  The next batter was a routine fly ball on which the runners couldn't advance.  1st and 2nd with one out.  A low liner to Dan Chiasson in right center that initially looked like it would fall in.  The runners broke.  Dan caught up to the ball and fired to 2nd base for the inning and game ending double play. 

Grisslies 11, Hot Tub Woody's 10.

Tap Masters

Our first game of the year was an 11-5 loss to the Woody's.  It was okay, I was happy with defense and we managed to exercise the demon of the loss with our win this week.  Our second game of the season was against the Tap Masters.  This time it was 14-8 loss.  Again, a good game, but all we had to show for our efforts as an 0-2 record. 

Could we exercise a second demon in a week?

We've been getting good at that since July 9th.  We had beaten the Beer Bros. who two years ago gave the Grisslies their 2nd worse loss in franchise history. We tied the Dog Catchers and we traditionally don't do great in games against wicked offensive clubs.  We beat the Brew Jays for the first time in history.  We sweep the Draft Kings in two games giving up a total of 10 runs to them and most recently we avenged our opening game loss to the Woody's who are also the authors of the Grisslies worst defeat EVER.  Last year they scored 35 run against us in a single game. 

Another demon?  Well, minus Cam Clark, Dan Chiasson, Darren Ford and Tom Enright, the task was daunting. 

And it didn't look good early.  The Tap masters got 3 in their half of the 1st, but the Grisslies rebounded for 2 of their own.  The Tap Masters really opened it up in the second counting 6 to the Grisslies 2. 

Down 9-4 is not a real comfort zone for our squad. 

The Tap Masters outscoring us 5-4 in the third didn't help as the stretched their lead to 14-8.  The Grisslies finally had a moral victory in the 4th when the Tap Masters scored 3 and Grisslies countered with 4.  Still a 17-12 lead for the Masters after four. 

In the 5th the Grisslies defense finally showed up.  Sort of.  The First 3 Tap Masters reached base with the top of the order coming up.  We got a fortunate bounce and turned a home to 1st double play to leave runners at 2nd and 3rd.  Then a fly out ended the ending with Tap Masters finally rolling a zero.  The Grisslies then had a bat around inning scoring 7 to take a 19-17 lead. 

The Tap Masters won the 6th inning 1-0 to get with one (19-18) heading the open 7th inning. 

Then it got crazy. 

Stef Kapp led off for the Tap Masters and singled.  Steve Porter followed with a single moving Kapp to second.  The runners couldn't advance on a fly out, but the top of the order was coming up.  Darrell Hager singled scoring Kapp.  Ryan Feehely singled scoring Porter.  Scott Peters singled scoring Hager.  Steve Brooks singled scoring Feehely.  Sandy Bell singled scoring Peters and Brooks. 

When the dust had settled, the Tap Masters had scored 6 to take a 24-19 lead. 

Another bad spot for the Grisslies heading to the bottom of the 7th. 

Len Wercholoz led of with a single and would score.  he was followed by Rob Farah who would single and score.  Doug Dwyer would double and score and Dave Potocki would also double. 

With the score 24-22 for the Tap Masters and Dan Routledge and Potocki on base, rookie Micah Williams strode to the plate. 

FLASHBACK:  Down 3 to the Dog Catchers in the Bottom of the seventh, Williams hit a 3 run homer to earn a tie for the Grisslies. 

Williams turns on one and hits one fair and deep, but its got a good hook on it.  It hits the foul pole (below the fence) and skews wildly into foul ground.  The runners score and Williams ends up at third with one out. 

The Tap Masters make the right baseball play in intentionally walking Geoff Keogh to set up the force play.  But Craig Escott rose to the occasion and singled sharply between third and short, plating the run and winning the game. 

Wow. 

Saturday, July 26, 2014

STATS Week XI

Stats geeks are the winners and you've come to the right place!!!

INTRO 

Best year ever?  Maybe. 
 
I know that the Hurtin' Units and Brew Jays may not agree right now, but I've been on that side of the fence too.  But with only 5 weeks left in the season the only things decided so far are this:
  • The Dodge City Rounders can not finish last.
  • The Hurtin' Units can not finish first.
The Rounders can finish 1st through 14th and the Hurtin' Units can finish 2nd thru 15th. 
 
The other 13 teams can finish anywhere from 1 to 15.  Unreal.   
 
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QUICK NOTES:
  • We haven't lost a game since June 24th, a run of over a month of now rescheduled games.  There are only two more lost games to be made up, one next week and one in week 15.     
  • We only lost 4 players in the 'hit in every game' competition this week.  There are still 29 players left over 14 teams.  No one figured out the team with no one.  When we get to 20 players I'll list them.    
  • And the run in every game list remains unchanged from last week. 
 

TEAMS

This worked well last week so I'm going to run with it until I get bored.  I'll review teams by who had a good week, a so-so week and a down week by following a thumbs up, thumbs sideways and thumbs down method.  Don't get too bent fellas, its just my opinion as I try to entertain.   "Try" being the operative word. 


Rusty Rebels 1-0
The Rebels had a stellar week, not only going 1 and 0; but also preventing the Dog Catchers from pulling away from the pack.  Mark Banks was the big hitter for the Rebels going 4/4 and Rookie Victor Dermott chipped in with 3 runs. 

Hot Tub Woody's 1-0
The Hot Tub Woody's rebounded nicely from last week's 0-2 record as they squeaked past the Sons Of Pitches 21 - 18.  Jeff Dancey, Jason Chiovitti and Gord Robinson were all 5/5.  Robinson joined Will Goodin in scoring 4 runs. 

Dodge City Rounders 2-0
The first of our 2-0 teams are the Rounders who defeated the Brew Jays and Blues Brothers in two close games to wind up with a +8 on the week.  Dodge was able to use a patch work lineup to eke out the wins.  Keith Dell was 8 for 9 over the two games and scored 5 runs.  They moved from a four way tie for 2nd place to be alone in 1st going into week 12. 

Beer Bros. 2-0
Who saw this coming?  Well, I might have had an inkling.  But I'd be lying I said I thought that they would have a 2-0 +10 week against the Dusty Cleats and Dog Catchers.  But they did and they were full value for the wins.  The Bros. moved from a tie for 10th to a tie for 7th with their victories.  In an unrelated statistic they are away with the attendance award as they had all 12 players both nights and for the 8th time this season.  Brad Young was 7/8 for the Beer Bros. and scored 4 runs.  Terry Doucet also had 4 runs.  

Grisslies 2-0
The Grisslies join the Dodge City Rounders as the only teams on the hot-list for consective weeks.  The Grisslies had a stellar week going 2-0 with a +22 and winning the Beer Cup by defeating the Brew Jays and the Draft Kings.  Dan Routledge was 8/9 on the week and scored 6 runs.  Cam Clark and Geoff Keogh each had 5 runs scored.  The Grisslies moved from 9th place to alone in 6th place.  



Draft Kings 1-1
The Draft Kings were 1 and 1 on the week with a plus 14.  They had a blow out win over the Sliders then lost a close one to the Grisslies.  Chuck Cragg was 8 for 8 on the week and is now 21 for his last 22.  He also scored 5 runs on the week. 

Tap Masters 1-1
There's a lot of teams with a chance to win the season, but it would be really hard to bet against the Tap Masters.  That being said, they too missed an opportunity this week by splitting their games with the Hurtin' Units and Sliders.  Gord Tanner led the way at the plate this week going 8/9.  Next week they'll take on the Draft Kings and the Grisslies. 

Sliders 1-1
The Sliders split againt the Draft Kings and the Tap Masters.  Kevin Moon was 8/8 in the two games there wasn't a cheap hit among them. The Sliders continue to have games in hand and are much closer to the top than the standings would indicate.  Next week the Sliders have a rare 3 game week where they'll take on the Brew Jays, Hurtin' Units and Draft Kings.  Sweeping will make them a viable contender. Being swept will make a top 6 finish difficult to achieve. 

Gruesome Devils 1-1
The Devils looked like the Devils of seasons passed with their 21-8 win over the Units, but could only manage 6 runs against the Sons Of Pitches as they went 1-1.  Greg Aucoin's 7/8 week was the offensive highlight.  Looking ahead the Devils have a difficult with two top 6 teams in the Dodge City Rounders and Blues Brothers on the horizon.   

Sons Of Pitches 1-1
It was an interesting week for the Sons Of Pitches.  The 21-18 loss to the Woody's was viewed as one that they let get away and the 7-6 win over the Gruesome Devils was one they went and got by getting two in the 7th.  David Polny has now scored in 11 consecutive games, counting 22 runs total in that span.  The SoP's have a light week next week with one game facing the team they're tied with in the standings, the Rusty Rebels. 



Blues Brothers 0-1
The Blues Brothers dropped a 2 run decision to the Dodge City Rounders in a game that was very competitive.  They trailed big early, battled back to take a lead into the 7th only to have victory snatched at the end.  Bob McCullough's 4/5 night led the way.  The Blues moved from a second place tie to being alone in 5th by virtue of the loss. 

Dusty Cleats 0-1
The Cleats took it on the chin dropping a 15-10 decision to the Beer Bros. in their only game of the week.  Winston Gayle was 5/5 in the game.  Dane Eldridge has now scored in 8 consecutive games.  Next week as another one game week for the Cleats and they'll take on the Dog Catchers. 

Dog Catchers 0-2
The Catchers two loss week sure made things interesting.  They opened with a 3 run loss to the spirited Rusty Rebels and then fell to a suddenly rejuvenated Beer Bros. squad by 5.  The problem with being in 1st is everyone is gunning for you.  So the Dog Catchers go from alone in 1st to a 3 way tie for 2nd.  Hardly a tragedy but they're no longer in complete control.  Larry Turner held the hot stick this week going 8 for 8 and Steve Lahey scored 6 runs.   

Brew Jays 0-2
No wins and -24 on the week, it was a tough one.  Bo Niederhuber and Brad Wadden were both 6/7 in the two games.  The Jays are 5 points ahead of the Hurtin' Units for 15th place; but they are only 4 points from catapulting into 12th.  Next week they'll set their sights on the Sliders in their only game. 
 
Hurtin' Units 0-2
The Units are officially out of the 1st place hunt now.  As we are out of clean rescheduling dates the Units have a 3 game week next week which will take them to their final stretch of 5 games.  They have the Blues Brothers, Sliders and Beer Bros., all teams .500 or better and clamoring for positioning as the schedule winds down.  A two win week will strike some fear into some teams, 3 wins will cause some real damage. 

The Beer Cup
 
 
For the 1st time the Grisslies own the Beer Cup!  Antics will ensue and we'll secure a donation of $50.00 to HTK by doing something wacky and wonderful with the Beer Cup!  Click HERE to read about previous works of wonder by other teams.

The Beer Cup is in its 2nd year.  Last years champs, the Dodge City Rounders retained the Beer Cup to start the season and defended it twice by beating the Blues Brothers and the Brew Jays.  The Sons Of Pitches then defeated Dodge to take it over before losing it to the Rusty Rebels.  The Rebels were defeated by the Tap Masters.  The Tap Masters, who waited for a year to play for the cup were only able to retain it for a single game as they fell to the Beer Bros. The resilient Beer Bros. beat the 1st place Hot Tub Woody's to become the second team to retain the cup. However, their ownership wouldn't last the week as they fell to the Blues Brothers.  The Blues Brothers would then  defend against the Tap Masters and most recently by beating the 1st place Dog Catchers!  But it wouldn't last.  They fell to last years champs the Draft Kings. The Draft Kings enjoyed a title defense against the Sliders before the Grisslies wrestled it away from them. 

The holders of the Beer Cup at the end of the season receive both the cup and 12 beer tickets at the banquet.

Next week the Grisslies will try to defend against the Hot Tub Woody's on Tuesday.  If they get by that game they'll have to face the Tap Master on Thursday. 
   
Teams that have held the Beer Cup (8)
          • Dodge City Rounders
          • Sons Of Pitches
          • Rusty Rebels
          • Tap Masters
          • Beer Bros.
          • Blues Brothers
          • Draft Kings
          • Grisslies
Teams that have defended the Beer Cup (3)
          • Dodge City Rounders (2)
          • Beer Bros. (1)
          • Blues Brothers (2)
          • Draft Kings (1)
Teams that have Played a Beer Cup Game (10)
          • Dodge City Rounders (3)
          • Blues Brothers (4)
          • Brew Jays
          • Sons Of Pitches (2)
          • Rusty Rebels (2)
          • Tap Masters (3)
          • Beer Bros.
          • Hot Tub Woody's
          • Dog Catchers
          • Draft Kings (3)
          • Sliders
          • Grisslies
Teams that have yet to play for the Cup(5)
          • Gruesome Devils.
          • Dusty Cleats
          • Hurtin' Units

STATS
Team

Closed:  Where each team ranked after their 1st 11 games of the season marking the 1/2 way point.


Where everyone is so far in the 2nd half.  Early returns, but it appears that the Grisslies and Draft Kings are noticeably improved.


 This is new.  I've been playing with something to try and separate pretenders from contenders.  I don't think this does that necessarily, but this is the problem with me and stats.  I believe that there is some combination of numbers that is 'perfect' and will reveal all to the keen eye.  I keep searching. 

So what this does (and its completely arbitrary) is ignore a teams wins and just looks at their minus in their losses and divide by the number of total losses.  Example, the Grisslies have lost 6 games by a total of 30 runs so when they lose they lose by an average of 5 runs.  What does this tell you?  Well to me they are in games almost always.  And Roman will tell you its because of our highly coveted defensive positioning. 

This showed me what I was hoping and had some surprises. 

1.  The Tap Masters are simply ridiculous. And the Blues Brothers aren't far behind.  I knew both were good, but these low numbers caught me off guard. 
2.  The Dusty Cleats and Brew Jays are EXACTLY what I expected.  They are meandering in 13th and 14th place respectively but their game scores belie their records. 
3.  The Dodge City Rounders and Rusty Rebels surprised me the other way.  When the lose, they tend to lose bigger than expected. 

Take it for what its worth.  Its a stat. 


This is also new.  It was born out of the one above and further breaks down how teams win and lose.  What I've done here is award 3 points for winning by ten or more.  2 points for winning by four to nine runs.  1 point for either winning or losing by three runs or less.  -2 points for losing by four to nine runs and -3 points for losing by more than ten. 

The Rusty Rebels, Hot Tub Woody's, Blues Brothers, Draft Kings and Dodge City Rounders are the only teams that are 2 or more position different in this list than where they appear in the league standings.  For the rest of the teams it might be that we are who appear to be in the standings.  These 5 might be a little better or a little worse than their record would imply.   


Baseball standings!  The Rounders are rolling a four game winning streak into 1st place.  We have 10 teams within 2 1/2 games of first place with five awesome weeks of baseball remaining on the schedule.  This is going to be fun. 


Dodge and the Dog Catchers heading the list of quick strike offenses doesn't shock me.  The team in 3rd is an eye opener, but we seem to have a lineup that is clicking right now. 


 Your traditional hockey 'points' standings. 


And here is your MAX points list.  You can see that the Hurtin' Units have a possibility of achieving 22 points which would tie the Rounders for 1st place.  However they've already played the each other with Dodge winning and they don't play again; hence, the Units lose the tie breaker and can not finish 1st. 


Team averages are coming closer together.  The Dog Catchers fall from their ridiculous .749 was predicable but them getting 7 out of 10 guys on base regularly is still daunting. 


The magic number list....not much to say about this, the variables are endless. 


My favourite team stat.  The power rankings!  Considering all the surprises this week, there aren't a lot of changes.   The Dog Catchers were unimpeded by their 2 losses.  The Tap Masters unaffected by their 1-1 record.  The Beer Bros didn't move up with their two wins. 

 
Individual

Top 10 Average is WIDE OPEN right now.  And lurking on the list without enough ABs to qualify right now is Scott Barton.  All the leaders struggled this week (by their elevated standards) with the exception of Chuck Cragg who was perfect on the week. 
 

CLOSED


CLOSED:  Congrats Rick!!!  Nice 6 game stretch. 


This is the time of year Moon gets hot.  This is traditionally the lowest quarter for average, I think this season will break the trend


 5 weeks to go in the season and Lahey is 5 runs away from 2012 leaders.  He needs 20 runs over his final 6 games (3.4 a game) to pass Terry's record.  I wouldn't bet against him. 

 

CLOSED


CLOSED


Adrian Barry is playing with the big boys!  Go get 'em tiger. 


 Adrian is still leading in ABs and Laurier has played the same number of games.  Stay healthy and don't miss a game and you'll join the likes Lepa, Doucet and Young. 


 Skippy has two games in hand on Lahey and could catch him at his rate of OBA.  But for the rest, it'll take a major Lahey slump to get back in the game. 


That is a whack of rookies over .500.   Its not supposed to be this easy!


Nyers, Hags and Plante....I don't think all three can collapse.  One of these guys will win it. 


 A 95 point lead would look pretty safe, eh?  I'm not entirely sure.  Hollmann, Edwards, Goodin, Mason, Beechey....all of them really.  If one gets stupid hot and Lahey slips at all, look out. 


 And finally after 6 and a 1/2 hours of reading, the most improved list!

The DeLands are taking this competition seriously.  Stevie boy holds a slim .014 lead over big bro Doug.  Dancey is hanging on by a thread, but this list is chalked full of great hitters, it'll be tough to win this one.