APOLOGY
NOTES
The August Tournament is almost here .... I've had a number of inquiries about the Fun Division and that is great! Please don't assume that I know you want to play, send me an email! Contact information can be found ===> HERE.
If you want to put a team in one of the SPN competitive division please reach out to Jeff Dancey. You can find contact info for Jeff on the league website ===> HERE
Also, Andy Gee and John Stiff are managing the BBQ and Bar respectively. These are two critical areas for our league fund raising. If you have any particular interest in helping in one of these areas please contact them. If you don't know who, click the link above and send me your info and I'll get you in touch with them.
INTRO
We at The BLOG have made a grievous error. Last weeks write up of the first place showdown between the Dislocated Joints and the Brew Jays should have included mention of a 4/4, one run performance Piero Del Greco. It did not.
As Journalists, we know that we're fully responsible for any errors or omissions that are contained in our documents. My only hope is that my failure to report the news accurately does not prevent Piero from become the #4 he so richly deserves to be next year.
The Editor.
The Editor.
NOTES
The August Tournament is almost here .... I've had a number of inquiries about the Fun Division and that is great! Please don't assume that I know you want to play, send me an email! Contact information can be found ===> HERE.
If you want to put a team in one of the SPN competitive division please reach out to Jeff Dancey. You can find contact info for Jeff on the league website ===> HERE
Also, Andy Gee and John Stiff are managing the BBQ and Bar respectively. These are two critical areas for our league fund raising. If you have any particular interest in helping in one of these areas please contact them. If you don't know who, click the link above and send me your info and I'll get you in touch with them.
INTRO
Initially I was a little discouraged with this week. Only 7 games, not a lot of action, the Jays won 28.5% of those games (I'm a stats guy) so there wouldn't be a lot of changes. One of those "the rich get richer" weeks. Plus, it takes just as long to produce all these different run downs for the BLOG regardless of how many games there are so it just seemed a little, "for not". .
Well, it turns out I was wrong. As things began to unfold with chart after chart, it turns out that there were a number of changes. Some pretty big. So strap in for another round of stats!
STATs
Beginning at the Beginning....before we start digging down on trends and individuals. You might think this is a little ho-hum this week, but there are some changes even the order is principally the same. The Dusty Cleats, Banshees and Dog Catchers have been eliminated in the race for first place. Expect another 1-4 teams next week. It's not official, but I think the first place challenge is virtually over. Here's why.
The Tragic number column indicates the combination of Brew Jays wins and the designated teams losses added together that would be required to eliminate that team from contention for 1st place. The tragic number for the Joints should actually be 6, but a tie in points does them no good as the Jays hold the tie breaker. So they have to win outright. The Red Dogs could still win the tie breaker against the Jays, but they'd have to beat them in the last game of the season and outscore them by nearly 100 runs over the next 6 games. I don't like the odds. The Beer Bros. and Jays haven't played yet so the tie breaker isn't determined between them yet. There doesn't seem much point in checking records below that.
Lets just focus on the Dislocated Joints right now because their the closest to the Jays. They have 7 games left and the Brew Jays have 6. That's 13 games total and none head to head. So here is exactly what has to happen for the Joints to take over 1st place.
So you have to ask yourself if a team that is on a 13 game winning streak is going to go 4-2 at the same time their immediate competition goes 7-0. IT CAN HAPPEN! But I ain't taking that bet.
Now you've seen the full standings and Tragic Number, here is the 1st half standings.
I can't remember why I have two rank columns, neither of which seem to be right. What can I say, it was late and there is a lot of nonsensical stuff floating through my wee little head. However, the table is sorted properly for the 1st half based on games behind leader. Now, on to the 2nd half.
I DO know why there are two rank columns in this one! Column one is were a team ranks in this table. Column 2 is where they rank in the year to date league standings. Here is my rule of thumb on this, which has been proven to be reasonably accurate. If the rank columns are within two digits of each other then the team (generally) who you thought they were. So, the Brew Jays, Hot Tub Woody's, Red Dogs, Tap Masters, Beer Bros., Lucky Stiffs, Dog Catchers and Dusty Cleats are kind of representative of how they rank in the standings. If you believe how I look at things.
Meanwhile, the Grisslies, Hurtin' Units, Rusty Rebels and Gruesome Devils might warrant a second look as being a little better that where they are ranked in the standings.
Finally, The Dodge City rounders and Dislocated Joints would look to have a better spot in the standings that how they are currently trending.
Food for thought.
Okay, now I'm hungry, more food for thought.........POWER RANKINGS!
I didn't give all the background numbers in this but I did give the ranking. The PTS are based on the points in the league standings, that's obvious. The next two columns offense and defense may not match up with how you read the standings. The reason for this is that I've taken the total runs scored and allowed and divided by games and re-ranked. For example, the Hurtin' Units have allowed 212 runs which is 5th overall. However, they've only played 16 games so their per game average drops them to 8th. (but still trending lower).
Lets talk about how this is flawed for starters. First, it weighs all categories evenly. There is nothing to say that is correct. Also the plus / minus category has an element of double counting the runs for and against which clearly penalizes some teams (the Woody's are a good example). Then there is the whole, "who gives a rats a$$" segment of the population.
The only defense I have for the Power Ranking chart is that the top 2 on last year's chart ended up in the final. Also, the four semi-final teams were all rated in the top 5! It would have been perfect, but those pesky Dog Catchers (I had them ranked 3rd) messed me up. If you want to look at last years chart, you can CLICK HERE. Its added a little differently, but you'll get the gist - its the fourth chart on the page.
Okay, individual stats
And we lost another one, at least for a week as Andy Gee dipped to .797. These guys are survivors and damned good hitters to be over .800 this long. Every time they go 4/5 their average drops! Keep it up guys. And get better soon Scotty.
The Grisslies had an almost perfect game against the Tap Masters this week, at least as close to one as I've seen. But you'd never know it from Tim Schrank's line on the score sheet. 4/4 with a run. Here's a scouting tip for other teams in the league on how to defend Tim.....get more fielders. This collection of guys are integral to their clubs. They hit great and rarely if ever miss games. Its nice to see the varying degrees of ratings, teams, ages and positions played on this list, everyone contributes!
Closed.
Because of rain outs and player availability issues, we'll be starting to track quarter 4 of the schedule next week, but Q3 will still be open for another 2 weeks as the Rusty Rebels, Hurtin' Units, Gruesome Devils and Dusty Cleats each have two or more games left to play before closing Q3. Jamie is closed but with the collection of guys behind him....I don't know how safe that lead is!
Roger just keeps on keeping on. I'm actually kind of surprised that he's the only Brew Jays in the list considering that they lead the league in runs and games played. A quick look at their team stats shows that they are all pretty balanced....7 players with 20 more runs scored. That's tough to compete with. Robinson, Booth and Armstrong (as much as pains me (the Armstrong part, not the Robinson or Booth bit)) are worth noting. Their teams have played only 16 games and they still find themselves in the top 10. Pretty impressive, even for a #1 like Hugh.
Closed
Closed.
HEY! I'm on a list!!! Sadly, I won't stay because Q3 is closed for me (we've played 18 games) and there are a whack of guthat will pass me. It was fun while it lasted. Same as the Avg quarters, there will be a bit of a lengthy overlap between Q3 and Q4.
Yes, I don't know if I can call anymore attention to Roger. BTW, he's good.
I think Brad has owned this all year. Only he and Roger (heard of him?) are over 80% in the category.
Ya Baby!!! Look out Schrank! Okay, Timmy's in no danger, not from me or Rob. Actually, Rob is getting close to me so he'll be moving down to 12th in the order. The Grisslies are ahead in games played which is contributing factor. Same with Tim. Jerry has a game in hand on all of us and should jump back in the lead. There is a huge group at 68 so there is still chance for big moves as the games even out.
Okay Jason, I think that's two weeks in a row you missed. I may have to issue the Cliff Stacey challenge if you want to keep your lead! I changed this from top 10 to +.700. I might change it back. Way to go Jon, if the stories I've heard are true this your first year of organized ball. Congrats, you're up with some good names!
And Rick inches a little higher again! Another 10 points up to a .295 point improvement! That's excellent. in fact everyone on the list is having a whale of a year. Piero and Cliff have had remarkable turnarounds that would be talk of the town in a normal year. But with 8 guys with averages over 150 points or more than last year and hitting over .700; there's a whole lot of awesome to go around!
GAMES:
This was the game of the week and and it was good one for 4 innings. You can read about it HERE. The Brew Jays bats woke up and ran rough shot over the Cleats in the second half of the game. The lively bats were owned by Bill Clouthier (4/4,1); David Polny (4/4,2) and Rob Hayward (4/4,2). CP, the Cleats pitcher and captain was the only player with a perfect night for the visitors (4/4)
Rescheduled to Tuesday, September 4th, 7:00 PM at C3
Rescheduled to Monday, August 20th, 9:30 PM at Keogh Park
In a competitive defensive game the Hurtin' Units pulled out a victory despite the Lucky stiffs doing well to slow down their normally potent offense. John Barlow again led the way fro the Stiffs going 3/3 with a run scored. Meanwhile, Clayton Avery and Rob Rumboldt continue to assault the top 25 as both went 4/4 Clayton also chipped in 2 runs scored.
In a game that pitted that second best offense against the second best defense, the defense prevailed. At least this time. The Grisslies were led by Rick Cudnik (5/5,2); Gary Basso (4/4,2); Lance Horgan (5/5,4) and Charles Nelson O'Leary (4/4,1). The big night for the Tap Masters was none other than Captain Tim Schrank who was 4/4 with the team's lone run scored.
An almost identical game to the Grisslie v. Tap Masters game was going on at the same time on diamond 3. Like the Tap Masters, their captain, Larry Turner had the only perfect night going 3/3. The Beer Bros. had perfect nights from Peter Holmann (4/4, 3) and Captain Paul Piellusch (3/3, 2)
In a rain shortened affair, several Red Dogs felt they may have run out of innings in this one. However, several Hot Tub Woody's felt the Red Dogs were lucky to only have to face Chuck Cragg 3 times. The Red Dogs had Bob Candy and Rick Hjelholt both go 2/2 with a run scored over 4 1/2 innings. The Hot Tub Woody's had perfect nights from Brad Moye (3/3,2), Chuck Cragg (3/3,3), Steve Brooks (3/3,2) and Not So Fast Eddie Hopkins (2/2).
The Dislocated Joints' only perfect night was from Captain Terry Doucet who was 4/4 with a run scored. And another captain came through for the Rebels as Hugh Armstrong went 4/4 with 2 runs scored.
The 13th win a row for the Jays started with a big inning and they just steam rolled from there. Keith Beechey was Dodge City's only perfect hitter at 3/3 with a run scored. The Brew Jays Joined the Captain parade this week as Rod Duggan was 4/4 with a run scored. Joining Rod were Jamie McClean (3/3); Lynn Foerster (4/4,2) and Roger Gaudet (4/4,2).
Rescheduled to Tuesday, July 31st, 9:30 PM at C3
Things to check out:
Check out the Donini Three Stars of the game here ==> STARS
Check out the Dislocated Joints game notes from DTBB & Terry Doucet ==> JOINTS
Check out the Tap Master's game notes from Jason Bowers ==> Tapped Out
Check out the Hurtin' Units BLOG from Jimmer ==> Hannibal Lecter
The League's Official Website ==> League
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