BONUS BLOG: The Vent, Some Stats, Some Changes

HERE WE GO!

 It happens at least once a year...the day I wake up and hate the friggin' BLOG.  Usually its because it starts to take over my life.  Not so much this time.

This year it arrived a little differently in the form of a crashed computer.  The good fortune is that the Laptop was recovered and workable.  The data, pictures, music and applications were sadly....not recoverable.

So, where does this leaves things?  The BLOG is fine because none of it was resident on the Laptop.  'Some' bits and pieces that I had been putting together are lost, but nothing too tragic. 

From a stats stand point I lost them all.  I am able to recover what I've mailed out to people, so our week over week OBA's and Standings are intact.  But all the other stuff that I had done (Runs and various value equations) are gone.   Those will take a complete rebuild and I think that's pretty doubtful; although I did some stuff around standings. 

The big victim is the weakly supplement.  The application I bought to build those little movies is gone.  Reacquiring the app isn't actually that big of deal, but it took weeks to build the set (as rudimentary as it was) so I don't know if I can afford to go down that road again from a time stand point.  I will write a weekend summary for the balance of the season and throw in a few pictures and logos that I can find.  But I think my movie making days are over for a while.    

Okay that's it for my bitter rant.  I wanted to take a quick look at the standings because:  a) I was late getting the stats in for obvious reasons and they are probably late going up because of that and b) I'm not a big fan of the way we do standings, as I may have noted before.  The whole "points" thing isn't the best reflection of where we are in the season.  I'm more a GBL (games behind leader) guy as a 'point in time' view where your team is.  Anyway, there are a lot of different data points here, but none are perfect on their own.  As a package?  Not too bad. 

ABOVE:    Current standings as they appear on the Website, based on points.

ABOVE:  Standings based on most wins.

 ABOVE:  Standings based on Fewest losses

1. 

ABOVE:  Your total runs scored.  divided by your team's number of games played.

ABOVE:  Rankings based on average runs allowed per game.

• Your total runs allowed divided by your team's number of games played.

ABOVE:  Rankings based on average run differential per game played.

• Your Runs scored per game; subtracted by your runs allowed per game.

 ABOVE:  Standings based on winning percentage.

• I missed the rounding error on Wild.  They are obviously the same as the Woody's and Stiffs. Wins divided by games played, for the Hot Tub Woody's is 10/15 = .667
• Ties are not counted.

ABOVE:   Standings based on Games Behind Leader.

• Figuring out GBL.  Find your team (I'll use the Grisslies) and subtract your wins from the Cleats.  In our case the difference is 6. 
• Subtract the number of Cleats losses from your total number of loses.  In our case it is 7.
• Add the difference in wins to the difference in losses; again, for us it is 6+7=13.
• Divide the total in half; 13/2=6.5  Therefore the Grisslies are 6 1/2 games out of first. 
• for every tie you have in the standings add a 1/2 game to how far out you are.  For the Banshees it would be 11 (difference in wins) + 8 (difference in losses) =19/2 which is 9.5 games out of 1st place.  Add a 1/2 game 3 times for the 3 ties and you have 11 GBL.

ABOVE:  Rankings based on Magic Number

• So in case anyone hasn't figure it out...the Dusty Cleats are in a pretty good spot.  
• If by some twist of fate, they were to finish the season going 3-5 (its more likely to snow in August), then one of Wild, Hot Tub Woody's or Lucky Stiffs would have to finish 9-0.    
• So far the Dodge City Rounders, Rusty Rebels, Beer Brothers, Dislocated Joints, Banshees, Hurtin' Units and Red Dogs have been eliminated from finishing 1st overall. 
• This week could see the demise of the Dog Catchers, Torn Ligaments and Grisslies.

ABOVE:  Rankings based on Magic Number for 2nd-4th place. 

• This is where it gets complicated. 
• Wild, Hot Tub Woody's and Lucky Stiffs are in a dead heat against each other. 
• For instance:  Any total of Wild wins with Hot Tub Woody's loses equaling 10 would eliminate the Woody's from finishing in second place.  The same applies for every combination of those 3 teams against each other. 
• One of those teams would almost assuredly take second.  3rd and 4th are a little bit more of a question mark.  The likelihood of all of them going cold at the same time is pretty much nil, but one could. 
• The Brew Jays have a deceptive record and are actually in better shape than 3 teams with more wins. 
• For any of the Grisslies, Dog Catchers or Torn Ligaments to finish 2nd it would take the perfect storm of their wins and everyone else's losses.  Could happen, but I wouldn't bet a mortgage payment. 

Okay, that's it for now, see you at 6am Wednesday morning with a real BLOG.  Robbie has a special song planned!