Always something to say!: BONUS BLOG: Team Stats Thru 14 weeks

CURRENT STANDINGS

First off, here are the league standings after play on Tuesday nights games. I don't have the scores, just the game winners so the sort you see by +/- might be off a bit. However, the points, winning percentage and Games Behind Leader are (I believe) correct. They are based on the following results.

Grisslies vs. Dodge City Rounders
Dislocated Joints vs. Torn Ligaments
Hurtin' Units vs. Rusty Rebels
Brew Jays vs. Beer Bros.
Hot Tub Woody's vs. Red Dogs
Brew Jays vs. Wild

TEAM STATS FOR THE HARDCORE

We're starting to wind down....

The balance of this BLOG is based on all the team stats from the END OF LAST WEEK! Things have already changed but it takes a while to set this stuff up. The Grisslies have 3 games left and most teams are at 5 or less or will be by the weeks end. This BLOG will be about TEAM related stats; within the next day or two I'll post one on individual stats. I get more comments about the statistical ones than the funny (supposedly) ones, so I'll try to keep them coming as best as I can.

Normal League Standings as of the end of week 14. (Why I'm not a big fan of this format is that if you were to look at the standings after Monday's games it would have showed the Grisslies in second place ahead of the Lucky Stiffs because we had the same number of points and a better plus minus. It doesn't take into a count the games in hand. I know this view works for all but a hand full of people which is probably why we use it).

Games Behind Leader Standings. (As anyone reading knows, this is my most favourite way to look at the standings. As a reference point, this shows the Grisslies in a tie for 3rd, seven back of the Dusty Cleats and a full two games behind the Lucky Stiffs. The Cleats wins are subtracted from your win total (9 in the case of Brew Jays) and the Dusty Cleats losses are subtracted from your losses (6 in the case of the Brew Jays). The two numbers are added together (9+6=15) and divided by 2 (15/2=7.5). That is your games behind leader. If your team has any ties (2 in the case of the Brew Jays), you add a 1/2 game for each tie (7.5+.5+.5=8.5GBL)

Cleats Magic Number to Clinch 1st. 13 teams have been eliminated, so we'll just focus on who is alive and able to still win the season. The Magic number is now two. The calculation for this one is fairly simple, ((Games in a season + 1) - (Dusty Cleats Wins + Lucky Stiffs Losses)) = Magic Number. In this case it reads ((24+1)-(18+5))=2. And Bob's you're uncle. This week the Cleats play once against the Hot, Hot, Hot Tub Woody's. The Lucky Stiff's have the Beer Bros. immediately preceding. The Dusty Cleats can ONLY CLINCH this week if they win and the Stiff's lose.

Revised Aug 10, 9:50AM - The Above statement is not accurate. If the Cleats win and Stiff's win or if both teams lose the magic number would reduce to "1". A magic number of "1" typically clinches no worse than a tie. However, a tie would go to the Dusty Cleats as they hold the tie breaker against the Lucky Stiffs having won their only head-to-head match up 9-4. According to the T.O.T. Constitution, the 1st tie breaker is head to head. So, to be clear, the only way that the Lucky Stiffs can stay alive in the race for first place beyond this week is if they beat the Beer Bros. AND the Dusty Cleats fall to the Hot Tub Woody's. Any other combination will clinch 1st for the Cleats.

Lucky Stiffs Magic Number to Clinch 2nd. Below you'll find the remaining schedule for each team, the number of games remaining (in brackets after their team team), the opponent, the aggregate opponent record AND the number of contenders (for 2nd) that they are scheduled to play. I'll let you pick favourites from there. I will say that I don't think its a stretch that the last game of our regular season between the Hot Tub Woody's and Wild could be very significant to the playoff rankings.

Remaining Schedule for those with a chance to finish 2nd.
Lucky Stiffs (5): Beer Bros., Wild, Red Dogs, Hurtin' Units, Torn Ligaments,
                      Opponent Record: .558
                      Games Against other 2nd place contenders:  2
Wild (6): Brew Jays, Lucky Stiffs, Beer Bros., Rusty Rebels, Hurtin' Units, Hot Tub Woody's,
                      Opponent Record: .481
                      Games Against other 2nd place contenders:  3
Hot Tub Woody's (6): Red Dogs, Dusty Cleats, Beer Bros., Torn Ligaments, Brew Jays, Wild.
                      Opponent Record: .570
                      Games Against other 2nd place contenders:  3
Brew Jays (6): Beer Bros., Wild, Dog Catchers, Dusty Cleats, Hot Tub Woody's, Dislocated Joints,
                      Opponent Record: .568
                      Games Against other 2nd place contenders:  3
Grisslies (4): Dodge City Rounders (Won), Dislocated Joints, Red Dogs, Rusty Rebels.
                      Opponent Record: .321
                      Games Against other 2nd place contenders:  0
Torn Ligaments (5): Dislocated Joints (Lost), Dog Catchers, Banshees, Hot Tub Woody's, Lucky Stiffs.
                      Opponent Record: .528
                      Games Against other 2nd place contenders:  4
Dog Catchers (5): Torn Ligaments, Brew Jays, Rusty Rebels, Dusty Cleats, Dislocated Joints
                      Opponent Record: .539
                      Games Against other 2nd place contenders:  2
Banshees (5): Dodge City Rounders, Torn Ligaments, Hurtin' Units, Dislocated Joints, Dusty Cleats
                      Opponent Record: .489
                      Games Against other 2nd place contenders:  1

Offense, Defense and Special Teams
Lets start with an easy one....runs scored. Not a difficult one to track. The only difference with this is that its divided by games played giving you a per game average. This of course is a more "fair" reflection as the totals are skewed in favour of teams that have played more games.

What you'll notice here is that the Cleats are ridiculously good. The Dog Catchers who are up nearly a run per game on the rest of the league are still 2.5 runs behind the Cleats!

And the same thing for runs allowed...

Now combined. So this is where some people say I go too far. I think those people should have a BLOG and post stats to denounce my stats in a stats death cage match. This takes your ranking number for runs scored (O) and runs allowed (D) and averages them together. (O+D)/2=Total. in the case of the Lucky Stiffs, they are 5th in runs scored and 4th in runs allowed per game so the math for them is (5+4)/2=4.50. I think if we do this one for a while, we'll be able to identify a number to say under to be effective. Or I'll get bored and stop doing it.