Sunday, September 9, 2012

Before the 1st Pitch

Show Time

Tomorrow marks the start of the playoffs ... time for one last kick at the can. 

We've had the reviews, we've had commentary from a few a people and a number of side bets.  I might be poor come Sunday!

I've closed the poll a bit early for the sake of having this final review.  Interesting, 35 people voted on A & C while 33 voted on pool B. The poll question was "What two team do you think will get out of pool (a) (b) (c)".  Lets look at the results from the point of view of total votes. 


According to our readership, the teams in Green will get the bye and the teams in yellow are the four next most popular ones who would end up in the wild card elimination games. 

There is some interesting stuff in here!

Only two of the #1 seeds were picked.  The Brew Jays were second in the voting and the Red Dogs 4th overall.  the Dislocated Joints is the #1 seed relagated to the wild card by the voters. 

The number 2 seeds faired the same.  The Beer Bros have been identified as the overall favourite by voters with 26 votes to lead the way.  And the Dodge City Rounders who had the 3rd most votes overall are also projected to get the bye.  They #2 seed that isn't are the Grisslies who are picked to hit the Wild Card game. 

So who pushed out the Joints and the Grisslies?  Well that would be the #4 seed Rusty Rebels and the #3 seed Gruesome Devils.  Both are great picks in my humble opinion.  The Devils are balanced and the Rebels are hot!

The easy way to pick these are to take the #1 and #2 in every division.  People didn't do that.  But they also voted with their gut and kind of disregarded the stats.  At least to a large degree. 

The 3 teams with the best record in each pool, The Grisslies, Hot Tub Woody's and Dislocated Joints were all picked to get to the Wild Card games.  None were picked to get the bye.  I guess we'll find out if these trends matter or not. 

The one that is a bit of a shocker are the Dusty Cleats who are predicted to make it to an Elimnation game at least.  Its one thing to be a #5 seed, but its another to be the 15th ranked team overall.  There are a couple of reasons for this.  One is that no one actually believes this team's record and there is good reason for that when you see their roster.  The other reason is that people tend dig underdogs.  Last year people picked the last place Dodge City Rounders as the team most likely to cause an upset. Underdogs are way more fun to root for. 

Of the teams projected to go home after the Round Robin there is no one higher than a #3 so you wouldn't thing that there are many surprises.  Maybe.  Maybe not. 

The Hurtin' Units seem to be dismissed from pool A pretty quickly.  However they have the best power in the pool (I think) with Cam Clark, Rob Rumboldt and Gord Robinson and don't forget .803 hitter Clayton Avery. 

The Dog Catchers and Lucky Stiffs, both in Pool C are two of the hottest teams in the entire league heading into the playoffs.

And the two teams are being predicted to go home from pool B.  The Tap Masters and the Banshees.  A wicked offensive club and a team that was .500 over the first 12 games.  Giddy up!

STATs

Rob McCarron badgered me into doing these.  I have pretty complete stats over the past four years, older than that is sketchy.  So here are a couple of "combined" years views.

But first, just because Down Town Billy Brown digs this kind of stuff, here is a list of players who haven't missed a single game in the last two years!


And now, Robbie Mc's stats:

Top 25 AVGs over the last 2 years, 3 years and 4 years


UPON FURTHER REVIEW:  This will be mended for the 2013 preview edition of the BLOG, but there was an error in Geoff Keogh's 4 year average.  These are all manually inputted and prone to error, the double and triple check caught most of the errors, apparently not all.  I seemed to have transposed Geoff's 47 hits in 2009 to 74.  Opps.  Geoff's 4 year average is actaully .741, and not .798.  Still good enough for a 6th place, just a few 1000ths of a point behind Scott Peters.  Sorry Geoff.  The revised 4 year is

  1. Scott Barton, .803; 2. Rob McCarron, .752; 3. Mark Doyle, .746; 4. Roger Burton, .743; 5. Scott Peters, .741; 6. Geoff Keogh, .741; and the rest reman the same (for now).  Apologies for the error. 

Top 25 in Hits over the last 2 years, 3 years and 4 years




Top 25 in At bats over the last 2 years, 3 years and 4 years



6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Wow Doug, you sure keep stats! Honestly I love to read these stats no matter what. Thanks for taking the time doing them.

Doug Dwyer said...

Thanks for that! Happy to provide the info .... wish you guys would sign your names though then we could have a witty back & forth! Cheers & enjoy the week.

Anonymous said...

Sorry Doug, it was me, Jens

Doug Dwyer said...

ohhhh.....Mr 1st in ABs an 3rd in hits over the past 4 years!!! This is going to the rating committee!

TOT Insider said...

The Polls show some interesting opinions...let's see if the Beer Brothers can pull it off. They have a good enough squad to do it!

Next set of stats we want to see: # of beers on Sat per team vs # of wins.

Anonymous said...

Another great job Doug can't wait to see whats next. 33 fraser.