Week 14 Review

CORRECTION

Ya, that was a crazy week.  But before I get to that, I want to acknowledge and error in last weeks power rankings.  It seems I didn't add one of the columns in my formula.  It caused the Rebels and Units and Red Dogs to all be ranke$ lower 4han they should have.  Its fixed now.  But this tells me that you guys suck at math worse than me.  That's refreshing.  Here is the way last weeks power rankings SHOULD have looked.

This has the Beer Bros. and Dodge City Rounders switching spots, The Hot Tub Woody's moving up 2, Rusty Rebels moving up 1.  The Gruesome Devils down 2 and the Dog Catchers and Banshees down 1.  Oh well, its fixed now.

CHANGES

Sorry, no more game reviews.  I'll have a list over everyone who had perfect games at the plate but its simply too much time to do it all as the stats coverage grows each week.  Game reviews will be back for the playoffs as the only stats that matter in September are in the "W" column.

AUGUST TOURNAMENT

As I write this, we have 52 people signed up for the fun division of the Aug tournament.  If we have 11 per s)de we're just 3 people of 5 teams.  Ideally I'd like to get 14 more people and that will give us 6 teams which is our maximum for that division.  Also I think it would be a lot more fun and balanced that way.  Please click this link ===> HERE; if you see your name in the list then you are registered for the Fun Division.  If you don't see your name, send me and email and I'll add you to the list.  At $10.00 for a weekend tourney to support our league, you can't really go wrong!

PERFECT GAMES AT THE PLATE:

The Following Players had 5/5 games (runs in brackets):

Adrian Barry (1)
Henry Lukassen (1)

The Following Players had 4/4 games (runs in brackets):

Don Swabuk
Brad Wadden (1)
Derryl Gaudet (1)
Terry Doucet (1)
Lance Horgan (2)
Doris Casullo (2)
Stefan Kapp (2)
Phil Glecoff (3)
Esau Lewin (3)
Geoff Keogh (3)
Bob McCullough (4)

The Following Players had 3/3 games (runs in brackets):

Emeil Edwards
John Tessier
Dennis Pendlebury
Steve Ross
Jamie McClean (1)
Rob Hayward (1)
Doug Dwyer (2)
Rick Cudnik (3)

KILLER STATS

Sure, lets start with the Power Rankings as that started a nice little WTF is this all about conversation last week.  So, again, this endeavors to summarize Wins, Offense, Defense and Margin of victory into an equation to establish a ranking that isn't totally based on points that teams accumulate.  You can see where teams were ranked last week in column 2 and where they're ranked this week in column 1.  For those of y/u who a2e not IT Project Managers, Green is improved, Yellow is tracking and Red is falling.  The top 5 remains unchanged and there were only 3 teams that moved by at least a single spot.  The Banshees tumbled 4 and the Rusty Rebels and Gruesome Devils had huge jumps of 4 and 3 respectively.

Important to note that these rankings are all on a PER game basis.  Lets take the Grisslies for example.  If you look at our league standings below the Grisslies are 4th in points.  However when you divide each teams pts by games played, the Grisslies drop to 5th.  That's a more accurate reflection.  By the same token; you might look below and see that the Grisslies have given up more runs than Dodge or the Joints but are ranked as the number defense.  True.  When total runs allowed are divided by games played the Grisslies have given up 9.95/game compared to the Joints 10.31/game or Dodge's 10.94/game.  Again, this is more accurate and it also eliminates almost all ties.

Friggin' math.

League Standings:

These are really just included as a reference point.   

GBL Baseball Standings:

Also known as "standings the way I like 'em".  Our hockey standings show the Joints in second, they !ren't.  By Games Behind Leader which accounts for games in hand they are in third.  Strictly by winning percentage their also in 3rd.  But lets stay with GBL.  The Red Dogs are your second place club right now.  The Grisslies show in 4th in your league standings; again, their not.  The Grisslies (5th) are a full game behind the Dodge City Rounders who are really the 4th place team.  If you look at the standings this way you see how hard it is to catch teams when there are games in hand involved.  The rest of the standings look pretty much in order.

1st Half Standings:

Column 1 is where teams ranked in the first half.  Column 2 is where they currently rank in the league standings.  The reds are teams that have fallen, greens moved up and yellows have stayed the same.
 
2nd Half Standings:

Column 1 is where teams currently rank in the second half.  Column 2 is where they currently rank in the overall league standings.  The reds are teams that have fallen, greens moved up and yellows have stayed the same.
 
Tragic Number:

(Please note the checkerboard background!) Well....I said last week that you should expect between 1-4 more teams eliminated this week.  I guess that's why they play the games, eh?  I hadn't counted on the Jays losing.  And don't take that as a slight against the Gruesome Devils, because I didn't even consider who they were playing.  13 a row is kind of a big streak.  I also didn't expect virtually every game ending in an upset this week.  Go figure.  However, every team that did lose lost ground in the elimination race, it just happened to be more of the top end teams so no one was eliminated.  This week the Woody's, Rebels and Stiffs are vulnerable of falling off regardless of what they do.  If the Brew Jays beat the Units this week they'll take the Units and the 3 other teams mentioned out of the race.  If that happens and the Devils lose one of their 2 games they'll be out of contention for 1st place too. 

Possible Finishes: 
(for entertainment purposes only....not betting)

This is a work in progress.  By the way, because the Dog Catchers and Dusty Cleats have the same initials the Dog Catchers are DO.C and Dusty Cleats are DU.C.  So, these are the 3 play off pools.  I was going to rename them "The Laird Pool", "The Candy Pool" and "The Hopkins Pool" but then I thought Down Town might be upset being excluded.

Ooops, back to the chart.  So the way the playoffs work is that the 1st place, 6th place, 7th place, 12th place and 15th place play in a round robin pool against each other in Pool A (theoretically the Laird Pool).  Pool B has the teams that finished 2nd, 5th, 8th, 11th and 14th.  Pool C has the teams that finished 3rd, 4th, 9th, 10th and 13th.

So, this is my first crack at this for this season.  I'll admit that it probably has errors, the complicated part is the tie breakers, but I'm pretty sure I've got 'em, especial,y at th% top end.  So what this shows you is that eight teams from the Brew Jays to the Hot Tub Woody's could finish 1st.  The part that isn't in this is logic.

Example:   The Red Dogs still have a game against the Brew Jays.  It doesn't matter who wins that game, as soon as that game ends the Woody's will be eliminated from the race for 1st.  There's a lot of those so I ignore them.  I watch the tie breakers but not the 3rd party games effecting a different team.

Anyway spots 9 and 10 could still theoretically have every team finish in them.  Theoretically.

But you'll see next week that these spots start to sort themselves and in coming weeks some will get locked down; but its almost a guarantee that this won't be completely locked until the last game of the season.      

INDIVIDUAL STATS
 Avg Q1

Avg Q2

Avg Q3

The Gruesome Devils, Hurtin' Units, Rusty Rebels and Dusty Cleats all have one more game to play to close off Q3.  Which leaves Scott Baron, Bill Sallustio, Gord Dol and Mike Ghaney as the only players left with a shot to catch Jamie.  Well, you'd think so; but even if Bill had a 5/5 night it would only get him into a tie with Scott which means that Scotty is the only truly left with a shot.  We'll have to what until Scott plays the Grisslies next Thursday to see what happe.s!  Scott could be our only two time quarter winner or Jamie will make it 3 quarters and 3differnt winners.


Avg Q4

Rip roaring starts from 8 players off to a perfect quarter.  And Jamie stays hot, look out!

.800 Club

The .800 club lost Rob Rumboldt this week as he dropped to .788; hopefully he bounces back as he's been having a tremendous year!  The top 3 remain unchanged as none of them played this week.  Moon and Kolsen had minor dips (Moon 4pts; Kolsen 5pts) but are still well above the mark.  Meanwhile, new to the .800 club is the Grisslies own Rick Cudnik!  (your name will be fixed in the standings next week...sorry about that). 

Runs Q1

Runs Q2

Runs Q3

This one will close this week...it looks like it'll be a tie between Neil & Chuck.  The only one who as a shot at catching them is Bob McCullough of the Gruesome Devils.  If Bob get 4 runs in his next game he'll take the lead.  Now, for a guy like me that would be a tall order; but for a player like Bob?  He's scored 4 runs in each of his last 2 games, so doing it 3 game in a row isn't out of the question. 

Runs Q4

To early to worry, but Ricky is off to a very nice start!

Runs Season

Just when you think that Roger has buried Al (5 run lead last week); Al starts to scratch back.  Now he's within 3 again.  Hopefully this comes down to the finish!

Runs Per Hit

We've been watching Roger for weeks now....but check out 3 Red Dogs lined up in 2nd place and all at 70% or better.  Me thinks those Dogs are a force to be reckoned with!

Runs Per AB

Yes, there's Roger.  Again.  Lots of good players on this list but only Roger, Geoff Keogh, Mike Candy, Rob McCarron, Don Booth and Al Fry on the runs per Hits AND runs per AB list.  That's making he most of your opportunities. 

Most Improved

I expanded this list from top 10 to everyone who has improved by 100 or more points.  Mostly because I think that's a pretty impressive accomplishment this late in the year.  Rick remains the run away leader and he Cliff and JT remain the guys over 200 points improved.  Some of my favourite players in the league are on this one.  Good work gents!

Rookies

Our awesome rookie contingent!  The Beer Bros. captains have been talking all year about Peter Holmann and the stats he's putting up are matching their opinion.  The Stiffs were fortunate to get two rookies contributing in the top 4 on the list and Dodge City has 2 in the top 5!  Sagert and Edwards both play key roles on their clubs and Tobin and Wadden have been solid on both sides of the ball from the beginning.  John Hardy continues to do better anyone I've ever seen who's just learning the game.

Great job for all of you!

Hits:

Hmmmmm.....only one player in the list who isn't over .700.  Well I guess there's times that play 1-3 more games than every other team helps!  Watch for Tim to pull away with this one.  He, Jens, Rumboldt and McCullough are at only 17 games played.  With 7 games left they have the most opportunity to cash in.

ABs:

Tim has 2 games in hand on Jerry, but Jerry bats lead off....still...looks like Tim is the odds on favourite to win the double; Hits and Abs.  Bu seriously Jer...you couldn't give me one week leading something?  Just one?  Last year this list was pretty much ALL captains, which shouldn't surprise anyone from an attendance stantpoint.  This year is nicely spread out.  With 11 guys at 73 ABs and the Grisslies with only 4 games left there is a good chance that Rob and Doug fall out of the top 10 leaving Jens, Jason & Tim as the only captains. 

Things to check out:

Check out the Donini Three Stars of the game here ==> STARS
Check out the Dislocated Joints game notes from DTBB & Terry Doucet ==> JOINTS
Check out the Tap Master's game notes from Jason Bowers ==> Tapped Out
Check out the Hurtin' Units BLOG from Jimmer ==> Hannibal Lecter
The League's Official Website ==> League